Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.154688 0.182078 0.212686 0.249394 0.292195 0.340501 0.399135
2025-10-19 0.116113 0.151966 0.196224 0.254755 0.330014 0.423413 0.548024
2025-10-26 0.092186 0.130675 0.181870 0.254697 0.355379 0.489387 0.681019
2025-11-02 0.073782 0.111779 0.165549 0.246799 0.366034 0.534105 0.788454
2025-11-09 0.059379 0.095384 0.149186 0.234895 0.367392 0.563697 0.875706
2025-11-16 0.051240 0.086715 0.142350 0.235226 0.385549 0.618236 1.004328
2025-11-23 0.043376 0.077056 0.132303 0.228612 0.391244 0.653341 1.105751
2025-11-30 0.038987 0.072397 0.129489 0.233015 0.414682 0.718321 1.261449
2025-12-07 0.034659 0.067123 0.124791 0.233326 0.430808 0.772379 1.404116
2025-12-14 0.030214 0.060931 0.117565 0.228027 0.436095 0.807925 1.517860
2025-12-21 0.027035 0.056645 0.113184 0.227226 0.449132 0.858002 1.662211
2025-12-28 0.025378 0.055097 0.113726 0.235720 0.480344 0.943978 1.881235
2026-01-04 0.024173 0.054486 0.116370 0.249415 0.524729 1.062156 2.180102
2026-01-11 0.022329 0.052274 0.115556 0.256159 0.556470 1.160296 2.452840
2026-01-18 0.020124 0.048904 0.111835 0.256258 0.574451 1.233033 2.682783
2026-01-25 0.017580 0.044343 0.104877 0.248331 0.574245 1.268375 2.839107
2026-02-01 0.015104 0.039527 0.096646 0.236357 0.563503 1.280092 2.946067
2026-02-08 0.013757 0.037254 0.093934 0.236690 0.580417 1.353042 3.194500
2026-02-15 0.012157 0.034071 0.088604 0.230037 0.580206 1.387884 3.361172
2026-02-22 0.011349 0.032835 0.087856 0.234466 0.606877 1.486445 3.684730
2026-03-01 0.010414 0.031097 0.085600 0.234779 0.623478 1.563299 3.965518
2026-03-08 0.009320 0.028735 0.081387 0.229448 0.625210 1.604872 4.165860
2026-03-15 0.008538 0.027143 0.079003 0.228643 0.638468 1.675862 4.446263